Naomi Osaka vs Madison Keys Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Wojtek Kolan

Our Predictions

H2H Records Career Stats

HEAD TO HEAD
N. Osaka vs M. Keys

Naomi Osaka

JPN

1

Win

Played

3

Win

Age

1.80m

Height

1.78m

C. Rank

Best Rank

Total Titles

YTD Titles

$24.1M

Career Money

$20.8M

Right-handed (two-handed backhand)

Plays

Right-handed (two-handed backhand)

Madison Keys

USA

1

Win

Played

3

Win

Age

1.80m

Height

1.78m

C. Rank

Best Rank

Total Titles

YTD Titles

$24.1M

Career Money

$20.8M

Right-handed (two-handed backhand)

Plays

Right-handed (two-handed backhand)

Head-to-head: Osaka 1 - 3 Keys

They have played 9 sets in total, with Naomi Osaka winning 3 and Madison Keys winning 6. The last match between Naomi Osaka and Madison Keys was at the U.S. Open - New York, 06-09-2018, Round: SF, Surface: Hard, with Naomi Osaka getting the victory 6-2 6-4.

Players	Head To Head Match Wins
Osaka	1
Keys	3

Last 4 H2H Matches:

(SF) U.S. Open - New York(09-06-18)

Stats

Naomi Osaka

Madison Keys

(R3) French Open - Paris(06-01-18)

Stats

Madison Keys

Naomi Osaka

(R3) BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells(03-13-17)

Stats

Madison Keys

Naomi Osaka

N. Osaka vs M. Keys H2H Profile

N. Osaka	Stats	M. Keys
$24,149,734	Career Prize Money	$20,819,148
64.33% (339-188)	Career Total W/L	64.47% (421-232)
0	Clay	1
1	Hard	2
8	Titles	14
1	Total H2H Matches	3
65.12% (28-15)	YTD Win/Loss	74.00% (37-13)
0	YTD Titles	2

N. Osaka vs M. Keys Match Preview:

Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Naomi Osaka has won 42.37% of points on their second serve, while Madison Keys has won 41.30%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Naomi Osaka, in recent form, has won 51.50% of their opponent's second serve points, while Madison Keys has won 49.15%. The same stats for first serve returns are 26.03% and 30.42% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
Under pressure analysis: Naomi Osaka has saved 42.16% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Madison Keys has saved 56.51% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Performance overview: Over the last year Naomi Osaka has won 68.75% of matches played (W/L 33/15), with Madison Keys winning 74.00% (W/L 37/13) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
Best surface: Naomi Osaka has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 67% (W/L 231/115), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 55% (W/L 24/20). Madison Keys has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 67% (W/L 54/22), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 53% (W/L 17/15).
Player level: In the last year, Naomi Osaka has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 65.00% of matches (W/L 13/7), where as Madison Keys has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 70.00% of matches (W/L 14/6). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
Direct H2H matches: They have played 4 times before with Naomi Osaka winning 1 times and Madison Keys being victorious 3 times. They have played 9 sets in total, with Naomi Osaka winning 3 and Madison Keys winning 6.
The last match between Naomi Osaka and Madison Keys was at the U.S. Open - New York, 06-09-2018, Round: SF, Surface: Hard, with Naomi Osaka getting the victory 6-2 6-4.
Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:28:31.
Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Naomi Osaka has played against opponents with an average rank of 87.56 while Madison Keys has played against players with an average rank of 121.28.
Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Naomi Osaka has won 57% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Madison Keys has won 75% in all matches played on tour.
Break point conversion: In recent form, Naomi Osaka has converted 35.09% of breakpoint opportunities, and Madison Keys has converted 36.84% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.

Naomi Osaka vs Madison Keys Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.

N. Osaka vs M. Keys H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

N. Osaka	Stats	M. Keys
1	H2H Matches Won	3
3	Sets Won	6
41	Games Won	49
9	Aces (Total)	20
12	Total Double Faults	9
1:28:31	Average Match Time	1:28:31
61% (189/308)	1st Serve %	64% (176/275)
65% (122/189)	1st Serve Win %	76% (133/176)
48% (57/119)	2nd Serve Win %	44% (44/99)
50% (9/18)	Break Pts Won %	34% (11/32)
36% (98/275)	Return Points Win %	42% (129/308)
25% (1/4)	Best‑of‑3 Win %	75% (3/4)
0% (0/1)	Deciding Set Win %	100% (1/1)
100% (1/1)	1st Set Won, Won Match	100% (3/3)
0% (0/1)	1st Set Won, Lost Match	0% (0/3)
0% (0/3)	1st Set Lost, Won Match	0% (0/1)

Recent Performance Stats

N. Osaka Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
Wuhan Open - Wuhan - 06-10-2025
R2 Linda NoskovaL. Noskova	L	7-6(2) 6-3	Stats
R1 Leylah Annie FernandezL. Annie	W	4-6 7-5 6-3	Stats
China Open - Beijing - 22-09-2025
R2 Aliaksandra SasnovichA. Sasnovich	L	1-6 6-4 6-2	Stats
U.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025
SF Amanda AnisimovaA. Anisimova	L	6-7(4) 7-6(3) 6-3	Stats
QF Karolina MuchovaK. Muchova	W	6-4 7-6(3)	Stats

View All

M. Keys Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
U.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025
R1 Renata ZarazuaR. Zarazua	L	6-7(10) 7-6(3) 7-5	Stats
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati - 04-08-2025
R4 Elena RybakinaE. Rybakina	L	6-7(3) 6-4 6-2	Stats
R3 Aoi ItoA. Ito	W	6-4 6-0	Stats
R2 Eva LysE. Lys	W	1-6 6-3 7-6(1)	Stats
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal - 28-07-2025
QF Clara TausonC. Tauson	L	6-1 6-4	Stats

View All

N. Osaka vs M. Keys Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

N. Osaka	Stats	M. Keys
64.33% (339/188)	YTD Win/Loss	64.47% (421/232)
60.98% (736/471)	Sets Win/Loss	62.39% (934/563)
54.69% (6115/5066)	Games Win/Loss	54.70% (7680/6361)
66.76% (231/115)	Hard Win/Loss	64.12% (252/141)
60.00% (66/44)	Clay Win/Loss	64.47% (98/54)
66.67% (18/9)	Indoor Hard W/L	53.13% (17/15)
54.55% (24/20)	Grass Win/Loss	71.05% (54/22)
0.43	Aces Per Game	0.42
2331	Aces Total	2887
0.18	Double Faults Per Game	0.2
993	Total Double Faults	1397
1:9:24	Average Match Time	1:19:25
370.68	Average Opponent Rank	96.35
56% (15250/27089)	1st Serve %	63% (25438/40308)
72% (10943/15250)	1st Serve Win %	69% (17455/25438)
48% (5722/11838)	2nd Serve Win %	48% (7145/14853)
46% (1385/3022)	Break Points Won % (Total)	44% (2116/4827)
43% (11511/27016)	Return Points Win %	43% (18047/41504)
72.28% (73/28)	Slam W/L	70.86% (124/51)
62.76% (91/54)	Masters W/L	56.31% (116/90)
75.00% (6/2)	Cups W/L	44.44% (4/5)
58.70% (81/57)	Main Tour W/L	66.32% (126/64)
65.79% (75/39)	Challenger W/L	64.91% (37/20)
61.90% (13/8)	Futures W/L	87.50% (14/2)
65% (336/515)	Best of 3 Sets Win %	65% (417/641)
0% (0/2)	Best of 5 Sets Win %	25% (1/4)
53% (64/121)	Tiebreaks Win % (Total)	58% (102/177)
64% (103/161)	Deciding Set Win %	53% (104/196)
90% (317/285)	1st Set Won, Won Match	87% (425/369)
10% (317/31)	1st Set Won, Lost Match	13% (425/55)
26% (210/55)	1st Set Lost, Won Match	22% (228/51)